THE PIVOT

Now is NOT the time to get UBER BEARISH.

TechNova — Fri, 26 Jun 2026 18:06:14 GMT

Layah is preparing her flock to massively SHORT BTC.

To me, while she may end up being successful that is a terrible RISK/REWARD trade given where we are in the markets.

So sorry for my coarse voice. Caught a pretty nasty bug in Mexico City!

It's all about the mighty Dollar.

TechNova — Wed, 24 Jun 2026 19:50:14 GMT

Per my last QB, I expected the DXY to make a run at $102 and thus put pressure on the markets and commodities. Especially Gold, Silver and BTC.

That is playing out as expected.

I am reading a lot of technicians call for a Break Out Run for DXY.

I believe again, that these people are wrong. Demand for goods is so weak that the FED will start softening its s…

BTC, MSTR, and STRC under pressure. It's all about competing rates!

TechNova — Thu, 18 Jun 2026 17:31:47 GMT

The consumer drives inflation. Inflation does not just happen to the consumer.

When prices rise, a strapped consumer stops buying. What happens next? Prices fall.

It has always been that way, it will always be that way.

THERE WILL BE NO RATE HIKES IN 2026.

There. In Bold. For everyone to see.

A deep dive into STRC!

TechNova — Tue, 16 Jun 2026 18:56:38 GMT

Important to understand how STRC reacts to BTC and thus to MSTR.

The IRAN DEAL bounce!

TechNova — Mon, 15 Jun 2026 20:19:35 GMT

We are bouncing on the Iran “Deal”….

I am not getting overly excited. Bear Moon has me cautious with one finger on the EXIT for my $60K LONG trade.

Founders LIVE Forum!

TechNova — Sat, 13 Jun 2026 21:52:13 GMT

The next evolution in the LIVE Forum is going to be TOPIC SPECIFIC Forums.

As we wait out the BTC Bear Market, there is still much to discuss, share and learn. So the next few LIVE Forums will be theme based.

This next one will be all about TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.

Time and Date:

TUESDAY, June 30th, at 1:30 PM - Pacific Standard Time.

This will be 30 minutes after the Market Close.

Venue:

Given the amount of people that already have DISCORD usernames and accounts, we will be hosting this event again using : DISCORD STAGE CHANNELS.

If you are already a Member of the Discord channel : “THE PIVOT : Founders Forum”, you do not need to sign up again. Just show up the day of the event.

As before, all participants in the room will appear as their current AVATARs. You can thus preserve your full anonymity.

There will be a virtual Stage. I will be speaking from that Stage, and will invite people to raise their hands if they have questions or simply want to speak. Folks will then be invited to join the Stage and that is how speaking will be moderated to prevent a total free-for-all of people speaking over each other.

You do not have to speak if you chose not to.

I may chose to share and present Charts during this presentation.

What if I cannot make it?

For those that cannot make it, we will be recording the VIDEO feed of this event, and I will post the recording here, behind the '“Founders Paywall” so that Founders can come by later and listen to, or watch it at their leisure.

We will also include an AI Transcription bot, that will auto-transcribe the AUDIO, so that you can read the event if you would prefer not to listen to it.

Topic:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Everyone seems to have their own flavor.

Some learned it through books, some through on-line seminars, and some are self taught.

I will go over the tools I use, how I look at charts, and will try (as best as possible) to codify my knowledge in a transmissible yet palatable way.

After the opening piece, I will open up the floor to rebuttals or questions, and we will take it from there.

Run Time:

I have booked out 120 minutes.

If we fill that time, great. If we run out of questions or things to talk about. We will end it earlier than that.

A BTC game changer occurred this week.

TechNova — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 20:20:54 GMT

I cover my short term expectations for BTC, but place most of the emphasis on the cataclysmic shift that occurred this week.

A Fannie approved, BTC backed Mortgage, on a $4M dollar home closed in just 23 days from listing to possession.

Please post in the comments section how many homes were bought with Tulips as collateral during Tulip mania.

The bears a…

Back in the Saddle as MM's target liquidity

TechNova — Mon, 01 Jun 2026 20:04:57 GMT

This move has taught us something important.

BTC’s previous move up had NOTHING to do with IRAN.

Let’s remember that moving forward!

A battle of 2 liquidity pockets.

TechNova — Thu, 28 May 2026 17:22:06 GMT

Leaving for Turkey in a few hours but wanted to drop a quick QB.

Please listen to yesterday’s QB if you have not.

Volume is still low. This means this is a Market Maker’s Market. Try to think like Jane Street.

Money is made out of Volatility. We were always going to grab $60K’s -ish, and we still are going to grab $80K’-ish.

Only question is which one come…

Perspective is SUPER IMPORTANT right now.

TechNova — Wed, 27 May 2026 20:57:25 GMT

Recorded this QB based on some of the things I have been reading in the comments.

I thought it important to add some perspective!

Zooming out on a Bearish Tape for BTC

TechNova — Tue, 26 May 2026 22:02:30 GMT

As we remain in a Bear Market it is important to watch one’s levels of Margin and of Leverage.

We are back in a 50/50 split where grabbing $80K or going for the $65K pocket are almost equally weighted.

A choppy market but a clear target for BTC

TechNova — Thu, 21 May 2026 20:48:28 GMT

We have bounced off the lower Bollinger Band support line.

Market is very choppy, and BTC needs to clear $78,600 to hit our next target. So in the meantime, we sip a delicious Roibus Tea and watch the action happen.

3 New Indicators!

TechNova — Mon, 18 May 2026 20:41:40 GMT

Today, I explain why I went long, against the Bear Moon and the 3D Death Cross formation on the CME.

To do that, I introduced 3 new indicators.

- Super Trend.

-Super Guppy.

-Gaussian Channel.

Let me know what you guys think.

Am I still losing my mind? :)

Clarity Act clears its first hurdle.

TechNova — Thu, 14 May 2026 19:04:47 GMT

Mentioned yesterday that folks were not pricing in the Clarity Act correctly.

MSTR, COIN, HOOD all up a lot today on the Bi-Partisan Vote to move forward to the full Senate.

That said, this is a highly manipulated print on BTC. So be careful.

Bear Moon expected tomorrow, and soon a Death Cross (50 > 200MA) on the 3D Chart for the CME BTC Futures.

For these …

All about the CLARITY ACT

TechNova — Tue, 12 May 2026 21:50:15 GMT

Why I believe the Clarity Act is in fact a big deal, regardless if it turns into a “Sell the News” event.

ALTs are moving, it's time to keep an eye on BTC!

TechNova — Mon, 11 May 2026 22:11:32 GMT

I’m back in the office this week after being out of town for business.
Doesn’t seem like a missed much.

Bull Moon is doing its thing for BTC, but we are running into resistance at the 200 SMA as could be expected.

While I expect a short term pullback, I would be shocked if we do not grab the $85-$90K area since there are some nice pockets of liquidity sitt…

Exploring Impulsive versus Corrective Moves

TechNova — Mon, 04 May 2026 20:39:16 GMT

When trading, you have to decide wether the asset is in a Bull Trend or a Bear Trend. Based on that assessment, it will tell you if you should expect Impulsive moves in the direction of the trend of Corrective moves in the opposite direction of the trend.

We welcome the Bull Moon!

TechNova — Fri, 01 May 2026 20:24:13 GMT

Well friends, the Bull Moon struck again. We positioned correctly ahead of it.

We are now running into a ton of traffic at the $78K-$82K level. Not going to be easy.

But the trend and trajectory is still UP until we can grab some of that sweet $80K liquidity.

FOMC comes in with no rate cuts.. AS EXPECTED!

TechNova — Wed, 29 Apr 2026 21:07:22 GMT

With the advent of prediction markets the FOMC announcement days have been pretty much neutered. So why then did BTC drop hard in a single candle before recovering?

M-A-N-I-P-U-L-A-T-I-O-N.

Everybody already knew the outcome. Nothing was unexpected. But because we are in a Bear Moon, and because we pushed down from the top of the Bear Flag, it was a perfe…

Yes, we are in a Bear Moon, but No, do not get overly Bearish!

TechNova — Tue, 28 Apr 2026 20:52:31 GMT

The Bear Moon is doing its thing. BTC rejected the 21 EMA … AGAIN!

This has lead the Bears to declare victory and start calling for $44K.

I believe they are wrong.

If we move hard down now, it will be really hard for the Market Makers to sweep $80K. Bulls will get demoralized.

They managed to sweep over $100M in Long Liquidations already. Maybe they will g…