During Crypto Summer (LULL) I mentioned to Buy "The Bottom of the Box". That is a period, where like a robot, you can sell the top of the box, and keep buying the bottom of the box.
As we started getting towards the end of Crypto Summer, I mentioned buying the Miners, as a Mid Cycle play. I also mentioned several that had started accumulating BTC into their treasury like MSTR (MARA, RIOT, DEFTF, etc...).
After Crypto Summer comes Crypto Fall. I mentioned you should be fully loaded coming into Crypto Fall, as it marks the beginning of the Banana Zone. During the Banana Zone, things move very very quickly to the upside.
To top that off, I mentioned SPOT ETF Options should be coming online in December, and if Donnie wins, you will have a President who needs DEFI fully deregulated to carry out grift and thievery. All the pieces are now in place.
I mentioned that COIN (when it was trading at $174), was worth $350 without Gensler in charge of the SEC. Trading at $316 right now.... with Gensler still in charge of the SEC (for another month and a half). Things are clearly getting ahead of themselves.
The general Macro is definitely set for the Banana Zone to take hold, but this does not mean you will not see some epic wipes outs on the Futures, causing bag holders who rush in to get creamed on short term time frames.
A friend reached out to me about trading his ONLY BTC, and my only recommendation was "DO NOT TOUCH IT". If you only have 1 Coin, you do not sell it unless one of 2 things happen : 1) You really need the money, 2) It is trading at $1M per Coin.
If something happens to me, just remember that mantra and you will be OK.
For those with much larger positions, and more diversified Crypto holdings like myself (Coins, ETFs, Miners, Defi Companies, etc....). You should be using huge runs to trim and harvest Gains. You should just be mindful of 3 things. 1) during the Banana Zone, things move exponentially not linearly 2) You should be ready to re-buy at higher prices than your first Buys. 3) You should never be at ZERO.
BTC can run to $125K in a 2 day run. So NEVER be at ZERO during the Banana Zone.
I know I promised many my Macro Thesis on what comes next. It is getting much longer than imagined. Going to put it in a PDF instead of a post, and see if I can upload it here when it is done. The short of it for now, is that in every transition to an Oligarchy, you have a first phase called "Euphoria". That usually lasts between 2 months to 1 year. This Euphoria is usually driven by a release in what people tend to think is an impediment to their wealth. For us here in the US, the Euphoria is based on everyone now getting a Tax Cut (if you showed up to a Rally, regardless of your age, wealth bracket, occupation, you were promised lower taxes), and complete and total deregulation. (Oil drillers can Drill, Chemical companies can Spill, Finance companies can Shill, etc.....) the Euphoria phase always makes the incorrect assumption that lawlessness leads to profits. When it has always been the opposite. Boring legislative deadlock leads to the largest profits.
Anyway, that is for another day. My current Euphoria estimate is till the end of Q1 2025 - Mid Q2 2025. But I need to look at some more numbers to confirm.
After Euphoria? Just reference that scene in the HangOver Movie where you wake up in a suite in Vegas with your room destroyed, a tiger, and Mike Tyson in his boxers, and cannot remember how you got there.